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The massage from Wuhan is very clear.
Here is Wuhan in late Jan-Feb 2020 ( lives are at all risk of dying, so LOCKED DOWN)
And here is Wuhan in late March 2020 (life has come back)
Strictly follow the measures, especially social distancing and isolation, there is a possibility that we will stem this highly contagious virus in 3 months from now. 
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This is my 3rd year in China. I have not been outside China for over a year and have personally observed China's response to Covid-19 (in Suzhou, Jiangsu). There are so many reasons why China could control Covid-19.


The most important reasons are the effective government, governance, and discipline. For example, when lockdowns were imposed in the northern Italian cities, people started rushing to southern Italy as the report of lockdowns was leaked. This is something beyond my imagination in China.

You can't leave a Chinese city just like that. You have to follow a due process to use public transportations (bus, trains), which certainly includes confirming your identity.

In China, the government makes decisions, and those decisions are thoroughly followed. No excuses.

When the imported cases started rising, all incoming foreigners had a special seal on passport to indicate the date of entry to China. Even to enter public squares, foreigners were supposed to show a passport (Chinese citizen need to show Chinese ID). I was not allowed to enter public squares if I didn't carry a passport (they wanted to ensure I have been in China for 14 days). Moreover, those who had returned in last 14 were not allowed to enter either. We also have health color codes (green, yellow and red) tied to our phone, and ID number. Producing health code is also compulsory. Only the greens could enter public squares.

Despite all such measures, imported cases has been rising. So, just yesterday, China has announced that it will ban all foreign nationals from entering its borders in order to prevent the further spread of the coronavirus.

 
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Why is the coronavirus not spreading in Nepal until now?

Corona virus can enter in Nepal in three ways:
  1. International flights/ tourists.
  2. Enter from Boarders with India.
  3. And within from Nepal.
  4. This is the season for tourism in Nepal but all the tourism places and trecking paths are empty now because local tourist have stopped traveling and international tourist are not coming cause most of the international flights are closed/ cancelled. And for the few arrived here, all the passengers temperature is checked on the exit and they will be taken to hospital if they have some symptoms. So, virus is not coming through Airport for now.
  5. Since India and Nepal have open boarders and citizens of both countries can pass through each country easily, there is chance that virus can spread from boarder area. But for now, Corona virus has not gone viral in India and Indian tourists are travelling less through boarder for now and poeple who live near boarder area are not infected till now. There are some precautions applied by both Nepali and Indian government on boarder too. So the boarder is not spread point for now.
  6. The virus can be spread within from Nepal too but the chances are very low. No one is doing anything harmful enough to animals so that Corona virus is born here. And there are non wildlife animal market in Nepal like in Wuhan. So the birth of Corona virus inside Nepal is low to zero.
  7. Nepali people have better immune system due to lifestyle and environment of Nepal. But there are rumers that even if you recover from Corona virus, you are left with permanent side effects on your lungs. So, it is best not to get infected from virus by any means. As my elders are saying, “Nepal ma Pashupatinath chha, audaina yaha” (Corona won't come here because we have blessings of Pashupatinath- Lord Shiva) I pray for this to end and everyone to stay safe.

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What does the coronavirus feel like?


l live in the UK, so can’t get offically tested, but here is my account of what I’ve experienced.

I came down with this around 5 weeks ago and for me it started with an unexplained total loss of taste and smell for a few days before anything else. My nose was clear, and unlike with a blocked nose, I couldn’t explain the loss of smell or taste, so I was puzzled.

Then came a sudden onset of digestive problems and a terrible headache. This lasted for just over a day, then I started to get a sore throat.

A day later, I started coughing with a strange dry cough. Many times a day for a minute or two at a time, I would cough, and would even wake up at night to cough. During this time, I also experienced a small tightening in the top of my chest, which I’ve never felt before.

By around day 6, I felt completely back to normal apart from the cough, which annoyingly continued for around another week.

I never got a fever though and prior to this, I had been exercising for 3 hours a day. I even managed to continue exercising, but only for around an hour a day, as I would get tired very quickly.

During this, my wife got ill and came down with a high temp, a complete lack of energy and a dry cough and she never normally coughs, even with a cold. Incredibly, she got better in 3 days, but she normally shrugs off most colds and flus in the same amount of time.


I was looking up the symptoms at the time, but didn’t think this could be the virus as I didn’t get a fever and we got over it so quickly. After reading a lot more since, I’m convinced it was, so thought it would be helpful to share this for people that get milder symptoms.

Even with the COVID-19 pandemic, what is wrong with going outside if you don't get near anyone?


Going outside on a bright sunny day by yourself or with the folks you are living together anyways is actually good for you.

It will boost your immune system, as this is positively affected by sunlight. Strong UV radiation will NOT be good for the virus - any virus. Too much of it can even kill YOU, as it mutates your skin cells to become cancerous.

“Going outside” ist not synonimous with gathering in groups and have a picknick or to stand at close quarters to have a chat however. That is what people get wrong. Keep moving - or go to a lonely spot. Passing a few folks - infected or not - most likely won’t get you infected, it takes more than that. Sure, if the fellow sneezes you into the face - not good. But that has never happened to me in all my life, why should it now?

Sure, there is the odd case of someone picking it up from inhaling someone’s breath and the internet babblers go ape over it - but that is not the way this pandemic has gone the way it did. Actually, a few infections now and then are actually desireable. If no one gets infected and we all get turned loose - you can bet that whithin a month we do the whole exercise all over again.

What we need is a slow, but steady infection of a large part of the non-vulnerable population. Almost like a prescribed burn. Once that has happened, you won’t get a second spike when lifting the lockdown but a lengthy, albeit slow contagion of many people that won’t overwhelm the health care system. That seems what everybody in Governments the world over is having on their minds.


It does not matter “how many” people get infected, but “Who” these folks are, and how many people get infected at the same time. So let’s protect the vulnerable section of the population who is more likely to need hospital care for Covid-19. That section is larger than many may think, specially in Europe and other western countries - and not all of them are old.


How did you catch Coronavirus?


It’s become increasingly clear that I caught and recovered from coronavirus back in early-to-mid-April, before testing was available and before there were any reported cases in my state. I’d been fairly socially distanced for a while before that, so it must have occurred on one of a handful of occasions when I was buying groceries, at the gym, or eating lunch with someone who was asymptomatic. Most likely, someone coughed in my vicinity without my noticing.
At the time, I didn’t think that I had COVID, as several of the symptoms didn’t match up well with those described when the disease was centered on the Wuhan and cruise ship outbreaks: I had a very runny nose and a very wet cough, for example. However, the extreme fatigue (I could only get out of bed for about fifteen minutes at a time for two days), fast onset and offset (about five days total, compared to the two weeks typical of flu), and presence of other symptoms that were only later revealed to be characteristic of the virus (temporary and complete loss of smell and taste, gastrointestinal symptoms) now make me fairly confident that either I had COVID or a close relative.
Complete certainty will have to wait until the serological test becomes available, as I recovered completely by the time tests became available. Fortunately, I managed to avoid passing it along to my elderly mother, either because I wash my hands obsessively, Lady Macbeth style, or because she has a cast-iron immune system that laughs at those of lesser mortals.


What is the best business to start during the coronavirus hype?

Forget hand sanitizers, toilet paper or face masks. The suppliers will quickly be out of supplies and you will be unable to fulfill your orders.
Instead, try to look for opportunities in services. And try to take advantage of the fact that everyone will be forced to stay home.
Services like home delivery services, online tutoring or elderly assistance services are great if you have the manpower and capabilities.
Otherwise I would say that the middle of an outbreak is not a great time to start a business venture.

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What's going to happen to us later down the year if covid 19 isn't gone?



SARS-Cov-2 will definitely not be gone, it’s far too infectious and far flung. It’s out. It’s here. And it’s not going anywhere as long as there are uninfected humans to jump to.

However, that leaves two ultimate end games that resolve into three basic outcomes for humanity:

Door #1: We develop a vaccine, it’s highly effective, we inoculate essentially everyone, and at a certain point, the virus can no longer find enough infectable people to keep spreading and dies out or at least retreats into an animal reservoir.

Door #2: Nearly everyone on Earth gets the virus and either dies or recovers, and at a certain point, the virus can no longer find enough infectable people to keep spreading and dies out or at least retreats into an animal reservoir.

Either way, this will have either one of two ultimate impacts depending on how effectively we neact social distancing and other measures to slow the spread between then and now:

Outcome #1: We slow the spread enough the few healthcare systems are unable to ramp up and cope, and about 1% of those infected die.

Outcome #2: We fail to slow the spread enough to prevent healthcare systems from coping and anywhere from 4% to 11% of infected people die in the hardest hit areas, and a few percent everywhere else.

That’s it. There is no door #3. There is no dues ex machina hail mary last minute death defying cavalry other the horizon save.


We either stop the virus with science, or it will stop us with caskets.


What was socially acceptable in Medieval times but would be horrifying today?


  1. Sleeping with people. Literally. Even if you had the money needed to get a private bedroom, it was generally considered lonely and sad to not have someone sleep beside you. Sometimes even servants slept in your bed, cuddles and all. Sometimes, one way for a soldier, vassal, noble, or whatever kind of man to show his loyalty to another noble or king was to sleep in his bed with him. If someone slept alone, it was a bad sign.
  2. Farm animals in the house. If you were a farming peasant, or any kind of rural person, you likely had pigs or chickens or any other animal in your house, especially at night time to keep them from being stolen. These peasants often got fleas because of it, but they managed.
  3. Brushing your teeth with a twig. Chew on a twig, spit out the bits that come off, then you end up with a natural sort of brush you can clean your teeth with. Some common things used as toothpaste include herbs and even salt. Although, it was probably fine just to use a twig.
  4. To a certain extent, a knight could just kidnap any woman with land/wealth he wanted, forcibly marry/rape her, and then just claim her stuff as his. I don’t think it was exactly looked upon with smiles but I’ve heard there weren’t many laws against it. Plenty of people would just kind of accept it when it happened. And I’ve also heard it wasn’t really heard of for anyone to go to the woman’s rescue via warfare or Hollywood style heroics. At the most, there would be some business style negotiations, or even a report to the local lord or king or whatever to solve the dispute. If it makes you feel better, there was a 13th century fellow who ended up having his wife kidnapped (although not for any property she had, just as an excuse for war and stuff). So, he gathered up his soldiers, went over to that tribe, and attacked. Then he got his wife back. She’d been raped, and was pregnant, but this man decided to adopt the child as his own. The child wasn’t allowed to inherit his title, but he still otherwise treated the child as his. That man was Genghis Khan … I like that story.
  5. Walking around barefoot. If you were a farming peasant, sometimes you just said fuck it and worked barefoot.
  6. Tasting urine. If you were a doctor, especially a doctor for a rich person, you might test that patient’s urine. Why? To look for signs of illness. For example, if the urine was sweet, the patient might have diabetes.
  7. Speaking of urine, fermented urine was a major ingredient in fulling wool. People would get barefoot like they were stomping grapes and stomp wool in that stinky, rotten urine. Eventually fuller’s earth was introduced.

How do you visualise a future world post Covid19 since I don’t see it coming to an end soon?


If Covid19 becomes a genuine catastrophe like the Spanish flu — infecting 30% of the world’s population, and killing many of those — then here is my prediction of the outcome.

Even if the world lost a billion people to Covid19, the rest of the population would build an immunity. So, the end of the virus will eventually come.

Assuming that it takes 2–3 years to run its course, the world will move substantially ONLINE during that period. Commerce will be largely through web sites — even for the local grocery store, the local bookstore, the local hardware store and local restaurants.

Social Media will soar. People will spend hours with websites like Quora and others.

But at the end of the Covid19 crisis, life will slowly return to normal. Restaurants and bars will reopen. People will again attend football games, rock concerts, live theater and operas.

People will return to work at the office or factory — and will talk about their family losses for the rest of their lives.

Still — life will return to normal. We will still watch cable (or satellite) TV, and we will still drive the freeways on Holiday — and we will return to Airline travel for vacations. Tourism will return to normal.

We will return to debating Global Warming, and finding renewable Energy sources to replace Oil Pollution. The previous way of life will slowly return.


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3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19

Seeing how a new strain of coronavirus is spreading around the world, a lot of fake news and conspiracy theories about the outbreak have appeared. So what is this virus? A secret biological weapon, evil machinations of the Pentagon to stop the growth of the Chinese economy, or maybe it’s just a mutated virus? Conspiracy theories are popping up like new Starbucks shops in LA, but let’s look at the most prominent ones. Just keep in mind that unlike a scientific theory, you can’t disprove a conspiracy theory, as it will always account for the missing pieces. However, that does not make them real.

1. Biological weapon

On one of the serious scientific sites where scientists publish their work, an interesting article appeared at the end of January. Its authors, a group of Indian Doctors, claimed that there are some sections of proteins in the genetic code of the COVID-19 that suspiciously resemble parts in the code of the human immunodeficiency virus, i.e., HIV. Scientists found four fragments in the structure of the new coronavirus, which have no analogs among the known coronaviruses. According to those Indian scientists, it is likely that someone intentionally crossed two viruses, which immediately led to the emergence of a conspiracy theory that the coronavirus was created at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.







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1. Biological weapon | 3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19 | Brain Berries

   Shortly after the publication, the Chinese scholars issued a full rebuttal. Some days later, the Indian scientists removed their work from the site, but it was too late. The Washington Times picked up the news and ran with it. According to their article, the COVID-19 was developed at the Wuhan Institute as a biological weapon and accidentally broke free. Yeah, I don’t think so. Or maybe the government wants me to believe that?
















1. Biological weapon | 3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19 | Brain Berries

2. Canadian trail

Several US publications specializing in the X-Files-Esque conspiracies have unearthed information that, in 2018, a group of Canadian researchers sold a strain of the virus to a Wuhan research institute and that the COVID-19 was allegedly created in a Canadian lab. This is where they work on advanced vaccines and methods for treating infectious diseases. A Chinese researcher worked there for some time and was deported from Canada last year. It remains a mystery why a virus was created in the vaccine laboratory, and why the Canadians sold the virus to the Chinese. It is also unclear as to why China would buy this strain and whether this was an attempt to create a biological weapon.
















2. Canadian trail | 3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19 | Brain Berries

So, here’s the theory: Canadian doctors developed a strain of coronavirus for research purposes, to work with vaccines, and a Chinese spy who worked in a laboratory under the disguise of a scientist, stole the virus and exported it to China. Yup, sounds about as dumb as a Hollywood movie plot, which means that there’s no way this is real.
















2. Canadian trail | 3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19 | Brain Berries

3. Evil pharmacies

There is another hypothesis that at first glance is absolutely insane, but if you delve into the details, you start seeing the pattern. A week after the first news about the coronavirus appeared on YouTube, videos began to appear, calling for the use of one very controversial solution to fight the virus. We are talking about a substance called Miracle Mineral Solution, MMS, for short. A couple of years ago, it was heavily promoted on the Internet as a treatment for autism. Wha’st in this magic water, you ask? It’s literally two parts water, one part chlorine. MMS was advertised as a universal medicine because it contains components that destroy any pathogens but are absolutely harmless to healthy tissue. At least that’s what the ad said.
















3. Evil pharmacies | 3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19 | Brain Berries

A few years ago, when people started discussing MMS more actively, American doctors slammed the door shut. They said that it could not become a medicine because essentially, it was nothing more than overpriced industrial bleach. But the coronavirus outbreak is an excellent reason to promote such “universal protection methods.” Millions of mothers around the world are scared to death by the news of a terrible virus that knows no borders. They will be happy to feed their children anything if the medicine keeps them alive. Seriously, people, you have a brain, use it once in a while.
















3. Evil pharmacies | 3 Crazy Conspiracy Theories Surrounding COVID-19 | Brain Berries


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What are the best Coronavirus tips?


  1. Social distancing - no crowds, small or large; and keep 6 ft from anyone
  2. No touching your mouth, nose, or eyes
  3. Wash your hands often for 20 seconds with soap and warm water.
  4. Cover your mouth when you cough or sneeze
  5. Go to the CDC website daily.                                                                       
How do you know if you have a corona virus? What does it feel like?


You don’t have the symptoms until 2 weeks, to make that worse, you can still spread the virus when you don’t have the symptoms. Added on to that, there is is no cure. So the most efficient way is to stay away from public. But fortunately, there is a slight hint that you have the coronavirus in the two weeks of not having the symptoms. Because the coronavirus mostly affects your lungs, it has something to do with your breathe. If you can hold your breath for 21 seconds or more then you don’t have the coronavirus. Of course that may change in the future, but right now that is the best way. Of course you're wondering what the symptoms are, well here you go:
1.) Have dry coughing.
2.) Have shortness of breath.
3.) Have a high fever.
4.) Have pang in chest area.
Of course it might just be influenza. So you might just want to schedule a appointment. The doctors will just put you in the emergency if you have the coronavirus.

Warning: There will be a lot of testing. The tests will be 2–3 days long. Be prepared wait that long.



What does the coronavirus feel like?
Hi! Unlike a lot of people you’re hearing from on here, I have actually tested positive for Covid-19. I was most likely exposed on March 3rd, became ill about a week later, and just received my official test results today, March 17th.
Coronavirus feels like the most devastating flu I have ever had. Intense bouts of fever, alternating with the kind of chills that, even with three sweaters on, make your teeth chatter uncontrollably. I’m “lucky”, relatively speaking, because my temperature never went higher than 102 degrees Fahrenheit, but even then, it felt like my body was burning up. Plus, a general feeling in my head that I can only describe as “heavy” or “flu-ish” that makes every movement and activity feel like a massive chore.
A few days later, I developed a very annoying dry cough. But again, I am lucky because there have been no chest pains or breathing problems, which would be a reason to be hospitalized.
My appetite has been nearly nonexistent—I am normally a big eater, and it’s only been in the past couple days that I’ve been able to make myself eat anything. Even then, it feels very gross, and I can only consume very small amounts.
Fortunately, I’ve been able to manage my symptoms just by taking Tylenol, and my condition appears to be improving. The worst part, though, is being stuck at home but feeling too sick and exhausted to actually do anything except sit around and cough.
As I said, I’m one of the lucky ones: According to the doctors, I will most likely be fine in another week.
But trust me, people: This virus is real. You do NOT want it. And you do not want to be the one who gave it to someone else. Chances are, many of you are carrying it already, even if you don’t have any symptoms. (I most likely had it for at least a week before ever feeling sick.) Stay home, and wash your damn hands!

EDIT: I’m sure a lot of people are wondering how I was able to get tested. I found out that one of the ushers at a Broadway show I had attended tested postive for the virus. Because of this potentially direct exposure, combined with the fact that I had all the symptoms, and tested negative for flu, I was okayed for the Covid-19 test. I don’t think this is right, but at least here in New York City, that is how they are doing it.
If the coronavirus has a 95% recovery rate, then what's with all the hype?


Do the math…

So, if 95% of all coronavirus cases recover, that means that 5% of all cases will die.

Now… let's put this in real world terms. What is 5% of a million people.

0.05 × 1,000,000 people = 50,000 people

So if a million people are infected with the coronavirus that means 50 thousand will die if the recovery rate is 95%.

The population of United States, as of 2018, was estimated to be 327 million people according to the United States Census Bureau.

If the recovery rate is 95% and only one quarter of all individuals in the United States are eventually infected, the resulting death toll would be:

(327,000,000 people / 4) × 0.05 = 4,087,500

That's why, it's a big deal. Over 4 million people would die before the virus had run its course. Now remember, that's if only a quarter of the population of the U.S. was infected.

For most “common” flu viruses, the mortality rates is around 0.02% to 0.1% instead of 5%. In the worst case for the “common” flu, the death toll would be:

(328,000,000 / 4) × 0.001 = 82,000 = 16,400

Still a large number, but two orders of magnitude smaller than a mortality rate of 5%.

Accurate numbers are difficult to come by in the middle of a crisis like this one, but the recovery rate may be closer to 97% or 98%, but no one is certain at the moment. That's why we all need to stay home and avoid crowds. A vaccine for COVID-19 is between 12 and 18 months away.

The corona virus is sweeping the nation. What are some surprising things that we don't actually have to do?


ou don't have to stockpile water. You can drink tap water. So knock it off.

You don't have to stockpile grocery food. By stockpiling it you are the one causing the shortage. And you aren't even sick. If nobody stockpiles it there won't be any more of a shortage than there was last month.

You don't need to buy hundreds of rolls of toilet paper or other paper goods. But what you normally use and the grocery shelves will always be full when you get there. You are the problem.

Corona virus Lastest Updated Worldwide Records

Why is coronavirus spreading so fast in Italy?

It spreads very fast everywhere it gets established. The only difference between Italy and anywhere else is that the virus got there before it got to where I live, for example, in the UK. Think of Italy and China as just the first stops in the virus journey all around the world.

Which country is completely coronavirus-free right now?

Mine is currently coronavirus free. If you are european, east asian, travelled through infected countries or even transited, then dont even think of hiding there unless you are a local. All locals are allowed to comeback but will stay 2 weeks in quarantined. If you are in a cruise ship you wont be allowed to our port unless the ship was two weeks in the waters.
Besides our airport and sea port are currently closed down due to a weather condition. It's the fourth time in 3 months!
We were forced to stay indoors for christmas, spring festival, national holidays and holi due to bad weather.
I'll repost another answer so you get an idea of what we did:
  • Set up 3 quarantined centres
  • Quarantined passengers from at risk countries and those who travelled there in the Past 2 weeks
  • Set up two rescue flights from Wuhan one in collaboration with air france to bring back our people. They were quarantined for two weeks
  • Banned imports of meat and even pets including fish from China
  • Banned import of sauce and other food items.
  • Banned flights from iran, france, South Korea, italy ,hongkong ect
  • Screaning at air ports and sea ports no matter where you are from
  • Prevented our athletes from participating at international events for their own safety.
  • Close monitoring of the covid19 and quick response.
The answer is obvious. We are not preventing the spread. We are doing our best to keep being coronavirus free.
16 March Updates
So now my country is banning anyone from or transiting through european countries and territories. This is also valid for uk and Switzerland. Only locals can come and they will be quarantined for two weeks.
Cruise ships will have access to our port only if they stayed 14 days in the sea.
Our finantial budget will focus on helping businesses cope.
Here is a map of the coronavirus free countries as of 17 March:

Who might have created the deadly coronavirus?

The coronavirus Covid-19 started in a very unhygienic live animal market in Wuhan China that sold BATS, SNAKES, ALL SORTS OF BIRDS, DOGS, CATS, AND PANGOLINS, all for the use in traditional Chinese medicine and to eat. Animal to human transfer of the disease. It was created by nature. The photo is a Pangolin.











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  How many people affected by corona virus in the world  




Health officials in the U.S. are telling citizens not to buy or wear masks because they do not protect you. Other countries state the opposite. Everyone in China, Japan, etc is wearing masks. What’s the truth?



BEIJING: When you walk outdoors in China, people are required to wear face masks. They cannot leave their apartment complexes without them. Meanwhile, China is the world’s leading manufacturer and the Central Government assigned many factories to produce mass quantities of the product line.
Nevertheless, China’s quarantine measures and lockdown have impacted the production of face masks to be exported overseas. Many shipping ports were partially shut down.
Accordingly, US public health officials and the White House Coronavirus Task Force have all urged Americans to refrain from purchasing face masks so that sufficient supplies of the product would be made available to all healthcare workers in the country.
But why did local manufacturers and sovereign governments not prepare betterfor the imminent spread of the COVID-19 outbreak in their nations? Many countries had one to two months to prepare for the epidemic.
Sovereign governments could have alerted domestic manufacturers to shift production lines in order to make more face masks, antiseptics, medical devices and equipment to test and treat patients. They should have known better that Chinese exporters were struggling.
A friend from Newark, New Jersey told me that his contacts working at shipping ports in the New York City Metropolitan area were not prepared for delayed arrivals of Chinese cargo ships.
That’s odd because the New York-based media was going into hysterics telling Americans that China was under nationwide quarantines.
Upon hearing the news, American manufacturers should have responded by mass producing face masks, but they waited too long. What were they thinking? The same can be said for India, the United Kingdom and European Union.
I had spoken to Indians last week and advised them to wear face masks, but they informed me that the items had already been out of stock in local shops. India is a neighboring country to China with over 1.2 billion people. They should have known better.
Hence, the coronavirus has exposed a deep flaw to globalism. Countries have relied too much on importing products to keep prices low, but if Chinese manufacturers get hard hit by an epidemic how could other nations recover from it?
All strong and powerful countries have to develop their respective manufacturing sectors, just in case emergency situations do arise. The coronavirus will be a teaching lesson for all sovereign governments.
They must ensure stable domestic supply chains and to maintain sufficient supplies of food and necessities for their domestic markets.
So let’s find out if the US has enough face masks right now. You can read an article from Live Science with a link here:
As reported by Live Science:
“According to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), health care facilities facing a shortage of supplies should first petition their local or state public health departments, many of which carry their own emergency supplies. If the state does not have enough, state officials may ask the HHS for assistance.
The federal government's Strategic National Stockpile — the nation's largest supply of emergency medical supplies, managed by the HHS — includes 12 million N95 masks and 30 million surgical masks. According to HHS estimates, that's only about 1% of the 3.5 billion masks that would be required in the U.S. in the first year if the outbreak escalates to pandemic levels. (To be considered a pandemic, the virus must be spreading uncontained across the world and result in severe cases of disease and death).”

It’s not a good sign if American hospitals are beginning to run out of face masks. We can only hope US manufacturers will start to mass produce more of them soon.

Is the Coronavirus pandemic?


Coronaviruses (artist’s impression) have a crown-like halo. Credit: Pasieka/Science Photo Library[1]
There are a lot of people working very hard to contain this genie and put it back into its the bottle. We know it has circled the globe and is technically a pandemic, but so far the number of cases outside of China give us hope. Even though there were serious errors in the beginning, the Chinese are taking heroic measures to contain this disease. If efforts to contain it fail, there’s a high chance that it will become endemic. As with influenza, this could mean that deaths occur every year as the virus circulates, until a vaccine is developed.
One big question is whether the coronavirus is also here to stay. It is free in the wild and we can hope that measures outside of China will be enough. What gives me pause is that some people are asymptomatic carriers.[2] Then there is the chance that this virus will circulate continuously in the world and become an endemic. That would make it like the viruses that cause chicken pox and influenza. But, outbreaks can be controlled if a vaccination is developed for the nVoC and people stay at home when sick.
One the “bright side” this coronavirus probably won’t trigger an apocalyptic scenario, because it isn’t typically infecting or killing young, healthy people, says Kamradt-Scott.[3]
The world has had many pandemics over the last 100+ years. The first really big one was the Spanish flu of 1919. 40 million died.
Since then flu epidemics which have turned pandemic and dangerous have occurred many times. Asian flu (1957), a multitude of Avian or Bird flu types (1968). Remember SARS, swine flu ?
What is different about COVID-19? Hype. We live in an unfettered press/ media circus. Gone are the days of experience, wisdom and, well, being grown up. Our world exists now with everybody running around with their hair on fire.
——————
A pandemic is just an epidemic that is worldwide. So yes, COVID-19 promises to become pandemic. It has happened many times before.
Flu season is nearing its end. New cases in China were over 3000 per day at the first of this month. Now it is about 400 new cases of coronavirus per day. It is declining. In a month to 6 weeks the new infections will decrease further because flu seems to spread in cold months. The end of flu season is approaching. 10s of thousands will die. Compared to regular old influenza A and B, just another flu problem. It isn’t good, but it isn’t as ridiculous as the press would have you believe.
So far this flu season (Jan16, 2020) there have been 9.7 million flu illnesses, 87,000 hospitalizations and 4800 deaths from flu, including 32 pediatric deaths in the US. More than 170 million doses of the flu vaccine have been administered. Early 2020 Flu Season Statistics and Other Influenza News This is called perspective.
Moral of the story is get your flu shot. You are far more likely to get influenza A or B than COVID-19. By next flu season, a vaccination for COVID-19 is likely. It turns out that COVID-19 has not shown a great propensity to change its DNA.
This too will pass. COVID-19 is not good. But it is not a “run around with hair on fire” event either. So, Bernie won’t get elected, coronavirus will run its course, and the market will have corrected itself. It needed to anyway. Good time to buy stocks.

Why don't I just expose myself to the coronavirus and get immunity?


The picture shows doctor Li Wenliang. He is known to the world for privately warning others about the disease. He got ill himself and is now dead.
If you were sure not to be one of those who are not being very ill by the virus, it could be a good idea just to expose yourself to the covid-19 virus and get immunity.
But there are several reasons for this not being a good idea after all.
Now it is a big risk to expose oneself to the virus.
You can be one of the more than 80 % who just get a weak disease.
But you do not know if you one of those who are being very ill.
We also wait for antiviral treatment which can relieve the illness. Until this is developed, it is better to try to avoid being infected.
The more infected people there are at the same time, the more difficult it will be to protect the most vulnerable part of the population from being infected. This includes people with heart conditions, lung conditions and cancer. It is unethical to not try protecting our vulnerable fellow citizens from being infected.
Edit about health resources:
The Scandinavian Health authorities has now (12. Mars 2020) published the number of intensive care hospital beds with possibilities to use respirators. This number is enough under usual circumstances. But if too many people are being severely ill at the same time, the number of intensive care beds with respirators will be too few.
The number being severely ill depends on the number of people being infected.
Due to this, it will help the survival rate if the infection rate is slowed down, making the amount of severely ill at no time exceed the capacity of respirators and intensive care beds. This of course also is true in countries outside of Scandinavia, and is a good reason for slowing down the spread as much as we can.
By now this capacity is exceeded in Italy. They have to reject patients in need of respirators and intensive care due to lack of respirators and intensive care beds.
The Italian doctors themselves compare this with war-time circumstances. In war-times and in great crisis, the doctors have to make decisions of which patients are to be treated.
Then it is necessary to leave out those with small possibilities of surviving. Crisis selection of patients is one of the subjects we have in medical school.
This is the situation now in Italy.
Edit about the first reporters of the covid-19 virus:
As Haodong Du states in a comment, it was other doctors, Dingyu Zhang and Jixian Zhang who kept reporting about the virus to the government through official channel to raise more attention, even under some pressure.
Edit about the covid-19 virus:
New information is coming nearly by the hour now!
It was found the covid-19 virus possibly had diverted into two different strains, the S- strain giving more serious disease and spreading more quickly, and the L-strain giving less serious disease and spreading less quickly. It was estimated 30 % of the cases being by the L-strain and 70 % of the cases being by the S-strain.
What is a fact, is that the 21. January 2020 a man in USA tested positive for the covid-19 virus, and they found both the S-strain and the L-strain at the same time in this patient.
Later research question both the difference in severity and the difference in spread ability of these two strains, even questioning it being correct to call it two different strains.
This is in the study: Xiaolu Tang, m. fl: «On the origin and continuing evolution of SARS-CoV-2», National Science Review, 3. mars 2020:
We have to expect still more news to come, and still quite quickly. Still news are coming nearly by the hour. We need to be open minded and re-evaluate our opinions as new information is emerging!
Edit about sham treatments and false information:
By now, we now should NOT be apologetic and tolerant of false information or of sham treatments.
In less severe situations the only harm this does, is not helping. But in the situation we are now, false information and sham treatments create a real danger. False information and sham treatments will make it difficult for people to get the correct information they need to keep them healthy and safe.
Edit about the use of face masks:
The important thing to know, is the difference between wearing a face mask to protect yourself against being infected by air, and wearing a face mask to lower emitting airborne infection from yourself to others.
Wearing a face mask to protect yourself does not work. It has to be special masks, such as the N95 mask. It has to be put on correctly, and to only be worn once and then disposed of. Because of the shortage of these special masks, they should be left for those who are working with covid-19 sick patients, or work with test samples.
To protect the airborne infection to spread to others from you is a completely different matter.
The viruses have to be emitted into the air by droplets though coughing, sneezing or even talking, for creating an airborne infection.
An ordinary face mask will stop or at least diminish the amount of emitting these droplets into the air.
Also in this case, the face masks should only be used once, due to the risk for yourself being infected if the masks have viruses on them. The face masks we buy, are usually to be disposed of after use.
If people used face masks made of cotton cloth - cotton because cotton can take high temperatures being washed - we would lower the amount of airborne infections.
If every person had three cotton cloth face masks, they could wash by 70 degrees Celsius the used mask in the evening, and drying it. They then every day would have a clean, virus free face mask to put on. This would lower the amount of airborne infection.
Edit about the work on antiviral treatment:The possibility of actually getting a working antiviral treatment gives us reason for trying to contain the spread of the covid-19 virus until we actually have a treatment.
Quote from the link: “The leading candidate is a drug called remdesivir, which was developed by the pharmaceutical company Gilead. Research showed that it could block SARS and MERS in cells and in mice. In addition, remdesivir was used in a clinical trial looking for treatments for Ebola — and therefore, it had already gone through safety testing to make sure it doesn’t cause any harm.
That’s why teams in China and the US were able to start clinical trials testing remdesivir in COVID-19 patients so quickly.”
In Norway there is being done research now on antiviral therapy against the covid-19 virus. The following picture shows the platform they are working from. It shows how far the work has come with different antiviral medications against different corona virus strains.
It is very interesting to really study this chart. For example, just by looking at this chart you can see that Tilorone already is approved for use against MERS.
You also can see, in the first column, how far the testing of different antiviral substances have come against covid-19.
Remdesivir is in Phase III. Two more phases needed before it can be used - if it at all passes the next level of tests :

Paul Peterson shared the following information about antiviral medication. I am copying his comment here:
“I am glad to see chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine on the chart as under testing for covid-19. I read these are “ionophores” for zinc ions…meaning they help “shuttle” zinc into (infected) cells, where zinc then blocks “RNA-dependant replicase” (enzyme) from reproducing viral proteins (slowing the rampant spread of a person's viral load. Apparently chloroquin diphosphate (a related form ) is being used in S. Korea (500 mg. per day) and China (500 mg. X 2 daily), and S. Korea has a very low death rate…Italy's fatality rate is 8 times higher (hypothesis).”
For how long if you got a coronavirus do you stay infected?
The primary symptom is a DRY NON-PRODUCTIVE COUGH. Most people report that their situation is no worse than a mild case of the flu or a cold for about 4 days beginning at a mean time from infection of about 4 days. During that period you are more infective to others from day 3 to about day 8. The first day of symptoms is the most infective and drops off fast. So it appears that there really are only about 2 or 3 days of really infective condition. The exception to this course of action is that about Day 8 the person gets (This is day 4 or 5 to the patient) really bad sometimes. Usually it resolves either in recovery from symptoms or death within. 10 to 11 days of the start which is to the patient day 7 to 9. Early reports of extended infection periods are not being borne out. 14 days gets you past everything and that would be day 10 to the patient.
It appears that the asymptomatic claims are pretty much not real as well and being infectious. The problem is that many people the symptoms are so light that they presume that they just got a cough.
Diagnostics are Temperature above 100F (37.4C) Dry Non-Productive Cough. In severe cases the pulse rate rises, the respiratory rate rises and blood oxygen drops. Chest X-Ray is the most practical diagnostic. Treatment of severe cases is symptom relief being careful not to damage the liver and Oxygen. None of these cannot be properly diagnosed except the Pulse Ox and X-Ray at home. You can do a capillary refill check to estimate Pulse Ox But a tool is cheap and easy.
This device will tell you a lot and can monitor a sick person even on Oxygen Therapy. The big thing here is to know your normal levels and not some textbook numbers. Phone to MD would be useful with this. (3/13/2020)
Liver damage is avoided by not taking NSAIDS like Aspirin or Tylenol or Ibuprofen or Aleve and avoiding antibiotics etc. Basically your best defense is to enter this with as little medicine on board as possible. Use temperature and pain relief as little as possible. Learn to use cool wet cloth etc.
Do monitor your Blood Pressure if you have trouble but try to be careful and do what your MD says on this.
You do need to know that as of this time the CDC and your MD have almost nothing to recommend.



Coronavirus crisis in US as more cases are reported l ABC News
Coronavirus COVID-19 Symptoms, Causes, Prevention Nursing Review

What is a coronavirus?


Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses which may cause illness in animals or humans.  In humans, several coronaviruses are known to cause respiratory infections ranging from the common cold to more severe diseases such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). The most recently discovered coronavirus causes coronavirus disease COVID-19.

What is COVID-19?

COVID-19 is the infectious disease caused by the most recently discovered coronavirus. This new virus and disease were unknown before the outbreak began in Wuhan, China, in December 2019.


What are the symptoms of COVID-19?

The most common symptoms of COVID-19 are fever, tiredness, and dry cough. Some patients may have aches and pains, nasal congestion, runny nose, sore throat or diarrhea. These symptoms are usually mild and begin gradually. Some people become infected but don’t develop any symptoms and don't feel unwell. Most people (about 80%) recover from the disease without needing special treatment. Around 1 out of every 6 people who gets COVID-19 becomes seriously ill and develops difficulty breathing. Older people, and those with underlying medical problems like high blood pressure, heart problems or diabetes, are more likely to develop serious illness. People with fever, cough and difficulty breathing should seek medical attention.

How does COVID-19 spread?

People can catch COVID-19 from others who have the virus. The disease can spread from person to person through small droplets from the nose or mouth which are spread when a person with COVID-19 coughs or exhales. These droplets land on objects and surfaces around the person. Other people then catch COVID-19 by touching these objects or surfaces, then touching their eyes, nose or mouth. People can also catch COVID-19 if they breathe in droplets from a person with COVID-19 who coughs out or exhales droplets. This is why it is important to stay more than 1 meter (3 feet) away from a person who is sick.
WHO is assessing ongoing research on the ways COVID-19 is spread and will continue to share updated findings.    


Can the virus that causes COVID-19 be transmitted through the air?

Studies to date suggest that the virus that causes COVID-19 is mainly transmitted through contact with respiratory droplets rather than through the air.  See previous answer on “How does COVID-19 spread?”


Can CoVID-19 be caught from a person who has no symptoms?

The main way the disease spreads is through respiratory droplets expelled by someone who is coughing. The risk of catching COVID-19 from someone with no symptoms at all is very low. However, many people with COVID-19 experience only mild symptoms. This is particularly true at the early stages of the disease. It is therefore possible to catch COVID-19 from someone who has, for example, just a mild cough and does not feel ill.  WHO is assessing ongoing research on the period of transmission of COVID-19 and will continue to share updated findings.    


Can I catch COVID-19 from the feces of someone with the disease?

The risk of catching COVID-19 from the feces of an infected person appears to be low. While initial investigations suggest the virus may be present in feces in some cases, spread through this route is not a main feature of the outbreak. WHO is assessing ongoing research on the ways COVID-19 is spread and will continue to share new findings. Because this is a risk, however, it is another reason to clean hands regularly, after using the bathroom and before eating. 

What can I do to protect myself and prevent the spread of disease?

Protection measures for everyone

Stay aware of the latest information on the COVID-19 outbreak, available on the WHO website and through your national and local public health authority. Many countries around the world have seen cases of COVID-19 and several have seen outbreaks. Authorities in China and some other countries have succeeded in slowing or stopping their outbreaks. However, the situation is unpredictable so check regularly for the latest news.
You can reduce your chances of being infected or spreading COVID-19 by taking some simple precautions:
  • Regularly and thoroughly clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or wash them with soap and water.
    Why? Washing your hands with soap and water or using alcohol-based hand rub kills viruses that may be on your hands.
  • Maintain at least 1 metre (3 feet) distance between yourself and anyone who is coughing or sneezing.
    Why? When someone coughs or sneezes they spray small liquid droplets from their nose or mouth which may contain virus. If you are too close, you can breathe in the droplets, including the COVID-19 virus if the person coughing has the disease.
  • Avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth.
    Why? Hands touch many surfaces and can pick up viruses. Once contaminated, hands can transfer the virus to your eyes, nose or mouth. From there, the virus can enter your body and can make you sick.
  • Make sure you, and the people around you, follow good respiratory hygiene. This means covering your mouth and nose with your bent elbow or tissue when you cough or sneeze. Then dispose of the used tissue immediately.
    Why? Droplets spread virus. By following good respiratory hygiene you protect the people around you from viruses such as cold, flu and COVID-19.
  • Stay home if you feel unwell. If you have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical attention and call in advance. Follow the directions of your local health authority.
    Why? National and local authorities will have the most up to date information on the situation in your area. Calling in advance will allow your health care provider to quickly direct you to the right health facility. This will also protect you and help prevent spread of viruses and other infections.
  • Keep up to date on the latest COVID-19 hotspots (cities or local areas where COVID-19 is spreading widely). If possible, avoid traveling to places  – especially if you are an older person or have diabetes, heart or lung disease.
    Why? You have a higher chance of catching COVID-19 in one of these areas.

How likely am I to catch COVID-19?

The risk depends on where you  are - and more specifically, whether there is a COVID-19 outbreak unfolding there.
For most people in most locations the risk of catching COVID-19 is still low. However, there are now places around the world (cities or areas) where the disease is spreading. For people living in, or visiting, these areas the risk of catching COVID-19 is higher. Governments and health authorities are taking vigorous action every time a new case of COVID-19 is identified. Be sure to comply with any local restrictions on travel, movement or large gatherings. Cooperating with disease control efforts will reduce your risk of catching or spreading COVID-19.
COVID-19 outbreaks can be contained and transmission stopped, as has been shown in China and some other countries. Unfortunately, new outbreaks can emerge rapidly. It’s important to be aware of the situation where you are or intend to go. WHO publishes daily updates on the COVID-19 situation worldwide.

Should I worry about COVID-19?

Illness due to COVID-19 infection is generally mild, especially for children and young adults. However, it can cause serious illness: about 1 in every 5 people who catch it need hospital care. It is therefore quite normal for people to worry about how the COVID-19 outbreak will affect them and their loved ones.
We can channel our concerns into actions to protect ourselves, our loved ones and our communities. First and foremost among these actions is regular and thorough hand-washing and good respiratory hygiene. Secondly, keep informed and follow the advice of the local health authorities including any restrictions put in place on travel, movement and gatherings.

How long does the virus survive on surfaces?
It is not certain how long the virus that causes COVID-19 survives on surfaces, but it seems to behave like other coronaviruses. Studies suggest that coronaviruses (including preliminary information on the COVID-19 virus) may persist on surfaces for a few hours or up to several days. This may vary under different conditions (e.g. type of surface, temperature or humidity of the environment).
If you think a surface may be infected, clean it with simple disinfectant to kill the virus and protect yourself and others. Clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or wash them with soap and water. Avoid touching your eyes, mouth, or nose.

Is there anything I should not do?

The following measures ARE NOT effective against COVID-2019 and can be harmful:
  • Smoking
  • Wearing multiple masks
  • Taking antibiotics  
In any case, if you have fever, cough and difficulty breathing seek medical care early to reduce the risk of developing a more severe infection and be sure to share your recent travel history with your health care provider.


What happens to your body when you get coronavirus
What does a Coronavirus isolation pod look like?


 Basic protective measures against the new coronavirus


Stay aware of the latest information on the COVID-19 outbreak, available on the WHO website and through your national and local public health authority. COVID-19 is still affecting mostly people in China with some outbreaks in other countries. Most people who become infected experience mild illness and recover, but it can be more severe for others. Take care of your health and protect others by doing the following:


Wash your hands frequently

Regularly and thoroughly clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or wash them with soap and water.
Why? Washing your hands with soap and water or using alcohol-based hand rub kills viruses that may be on your hands.

Maintain social distancing

Maintain at least 1 metre (3 feet) distance between yourself and anyone who is coughing or sneezing.
Why? When someone coughs or sneezes they spray small liquid droplets from their nose or mouth which may contain virus. If you are too close, you can breathe in the droplets, including the COVID-19 virus if the person coughing has the disease.



Avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth

Why? 

Hands touch many surfaces and can pick up viruses. Once contaminated, hands can transfer
the virus to your eyes, nose or mouth. From there, the virus can enter your body and can
make you sick.

Practice respiratory hygiene

Make sure you, and the people around you, follow good respiratory hygiene. This means
covering your mouth and nose with your bent elbow or tissue when you cough or sneeze.
Then dispose of the used tissue immediately.

Why?

Droplets spread virus. By following good respiratory hygiene you protect the people
around you from viruses such as cold, flu and COVID-19.

If you have fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical care early

Stay home if you feel unwell. If you have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical
attention and call in advance. Follow the directions of your local health authority.

Why? National and local authorities will have the most up to date information on the situation
in your area. Calling in advance will allow your health care provider to quickly direct you to the
 right health facility. This will also protect you and help prevent spread of viruses and other
 infections.

Stay informed and follow advice given by your healthcare provider

Stay informed on the latest developments about COVID-19. Follow advice given by your
healthcare provider, your national and local public health authority or your employer on how
 to protect yourself and others from COVID-19.

Why? National and local authorities will have the most up to date information on whether
COVID-19 is spreading in your area. They are best placed to advise on what people in your
area should be doing to protect themselves.

Protection measures for persons who are in or have
recently visited (past 14 days) areas where COVID-19
is spreading

  • Follow the guidance outlined above.
  • Stay at home if you begin to feel unwell, even with mild symptoms such as headache and 
  • slight runny nose, until you recover. Why? Avoiding contact with others and visits to 
  • medical facilities will allow these facilities to operate more effectively and help protect you 
  • and others from possible COVID-19 and other viruses.
  • If you develop fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical advice promptly as this
  •  may be due to a respiratory infection or other serious condition. Call in advance and tell 
  • your provider of any recent travel or contact with travelers. Why? Calling in advance will
  •  allow your health care provider to quickly direct you to the right health facility. 

  • This will also help to prevent possible spread of COVID-19 and other viruses.



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হটলাইন বেড়ে ১৩টি
বাংলাদেশে নভেল করোনাভাইরাসের রোগী ধরা পড়ার পর মানুষের ফোন কলের সংখ্যা বেড়ে যাওয়ায় হটলাইনে নম্বর চারটি থেকে বাড়িয়ে ১৩টি করেছে সরকার।
এখন নভেল করোনাভাইরাস সংক্রান্ত যে কোনো তথ্য পেতে স্বাস্থ্য অধিদপ্তরের এই ১৩টি নম্বর সবসময় খোলা পাওয়া যাবে।
হটলাইন নম্বরগুলো হচ্ছে- ১৬২৬৩, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৫১, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৫৪, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৫৫, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৫৬, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৫৯, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৬০, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৬৩, ০১৪০১১৮৪৫৬৮, ০১৯২৭৭১১৭৮৪, ০১৯২৭৭১১৭৮৫, ০১৯৩৭০০০০১১, ০১৯৩৭১১০০১১।
স্বাস্থ্য অধিদপ্তরের হটলাইনের নম্বরটিও (১৬২৬৩) এখন নভেল করোনাভাইরাস সংক্রান্ত তথ্য জানাতে ব্যবহৃত হবে। বাকি ১২টি নম্বর আইইডিসিআরের।

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Why South Korea has so few coronavirus deaths while Italy has so many

(CNN)As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to worsen, much attention in the US has been given to improving the availability of the diagnostic test.
Though testing is known to effectively reduce the risk of transmission, many experts are beginning to also associate more widespread testing with the statistic of greatest concern -- survival from the disease.
The connection seems straightforward. Consider two countries with large outbreaks.
    In South Korea, the rate of testing has been quite high (3,692 tests per million people as of March 8), and its mortality among those infected quite low (about 0.6%, or 66 deaths, at last count).
    By contrast, Italy tests about 826 people per million and its mortality among those with diagnosed infection is about 10 times higher, with more than 1,000 people dead from the disease.
    Furthermore, stories abound of sick people in the US showing up at doctors' offices and hospital ERs, asking to be tested yet being sent away because no test is available or because they don't fit the testing criteria -- leading many to comment that the lack of testing is going to kill us all.
    But we should be clear that more testing saves lives by preventing the next infection, not by allowing doctors to catch an individual patient earlier. The "treat early" paradigm works when there is an effective drug against the disease. Give antibiotics early for sepsis, you live; wait too long, you die.
    The coronavirus, though, has no specific treatment. Indeed, the syndrome of a rapidly progressing lung failure that appears to kill COVID-infected persons is a familiar clinical condition. Many infections and exposures can cause the same problem; ICU specialists have been treating it for years.
    So why does Korea, the poster child of testing, have so few deaths while Italy and its late-to-the-table testing program have so many? Is it only because more testing brings mild cases into the "infected" group, diluting the statistical impact of the handful of the very ill?
    Doubtful. For now, it is because of vast differences in the affected patients. Soon and increasingly, it also will be due to overwhelmed hospitals and doctors and nurses.
    Which is probably bad news for those hoping that the United States, which is currently way, way behind in testing for coronavirus, can somehow test itself out of the mess.
    Plenty has already been written about how the population of Italy differs from much of the world. According to a UN report in 2015, 28.6% of the Italian population was 60 years old or older (second in the world after Japan at 33%). This compares to South Korea, where 18.5% of the population is at least 60 years of age, ranking 53rd globally.
    The impact of this disparity is quickly shown in the analysis of coronavirus deaths in each county. In Italy, 90% of the more than 1,000 deaths occur in those 70 or older.
    By contrast, the outbreak in South Korea has occurred among much younger people. There, only 20% of cases have been diagnosed in those 60 years old and up. The largest affected group is those in their 20s, who account for almost 30% of all cases.
    Then there is gender. The gender split in COVID-19 cases worldwide is about 50-50, but there are gender differences in survival. According to data from the original outbreak in China, the overall death rate is 4.7% in men versus 2.8% in women -- a whopping difference. Which is good news for South Korea, where 62% of cases occur among women.
    Smoking is another factor clearly associated with poor survival. Smoking rates are about the same between the two countries: 24% for Italians and 27% for South Koreans. But gender differences among smokers are widely different: In Italy, 28% of men versus 20% of women smoke, while in Korea, it is about 50% of men and less than 5% (!) of women.
    In other words, South Korea has an outbreak among youngish, non-smoking women, whereas Italy's disease is occurring among the old and the very old, many of whom are smokers. (We do not know the male-female breakdown of Italy's cases).
    These basic demographic distinctions explain the difference in death rates between these two hard-hit countries -- as well as helping to explain why Seattle, with its nursing home outbreak, accounts for such a large proportion of US coronavirus deaths.
    To understand exactly what is happening, we need daily case updates to include information about age and sex.
    The blundering lack of an effective testing program in the US is an unconscionable failure and has led (and will lead) to more transmission of COVID-19.
    But it is important to recognize that survival with the infection is a completely other matter, one that will require very different investments, training, and expertise.
    The optimal program will have special beds to prevent bed sores, pharmacists with understanding of how medications are cleared differently in the elderly, and nurses familiar with frailty. Simply testing more and testing harder will not save the lives of the thousands of already infected Americans.
    Better preparation might. And given the glaring differences in the outbreaks in South Korea and Italy, it is time to assemble an expert panel of geriatricians, social scientists, ICU specialists and others to sort out how best to protect and, when necessary, treat coronavirus in the elderly.
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    এই পরিস্থিতিতে গত রোববার যুক্তরাষ্ট্রে স্বাস্থ্য খাতের শীর্ষ এক ব্যক্তি আশঙ্কা প্রকাশ করেছেন, দেশটিতে করোনাভাইরাসে ১ থেকে ২ লাখ মানুষের মৃত্যু হতে পারে।
    কিন্তু প্রস্তুতির জন্য এত দীর্ঘ সময় পেলেও যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের এই হাল হলো কী কারণে? সম্পদের ঘাটতি নেই তাদের। আছে পর্যাপ্ত চিকিৎসা অবকাঠামো, সঙ্গে সর্বাধুনিক প্রযুক্তি। তারপরও এই পরিস্থিতি কেন? গতকাল ওয়াশিংটন পোস্ট-এর এক প্রতিবেদনে বলা হয়েছে, ২০ জানুয়ারি প্রথম রোগী শনাক্ত হওয়ার পর ২২ জানুয়ারি এক সাক্ষাৎকারে ট্রাম্প বলেছিলেন, ‘বিষয়টি বেশ ভালোভাবেই আমাদের নিয়ন্ত্রণে আছে।’
    এরপর ১০ ফেব্রুয়ারি করোনাভাইরাসের সংখ্যা নিয়ে ট্রাম্পের মন্তব্য ছিল, ‘আমাদের দেশে মাত্র ১১ জন আক্রান্ত এবং তাঁরাও সেরে উঠছেন।’ ১৫ দিন পর ২৫ ফেব্রুয়ারি এক সংবাদ সম্মেলনে মার্কিন প্রেসিডেন্ট বলেন, ‘আপনারা হয়তো করোনাভাইরাস নিয়ে প্রশ্ন করবেন। আমি বলছি, যুক্তরাষ্ট্রে বিষয়টি বেশ ভালোভাবেই নিয়ন্ত্রণে আছে।’ দুই দিন পর ২৭ ফেব্রুয়ারি তিনি বলেন, ‘সব ঠিক হয়ে যাচ্ছে। এটা আশ্চর্য, কিন্তু সত্যিই একদিন সব ঠিক হয়ে যাবে।’ ১০ দিন পর ৬ মার্চ ট্রাম্পের বক্তব্য ছিল, কেউ চাইলেই পরীক্ষা করাতে পারে। সব ব্যবস্থাই আছে। পরীক্ষা করা সত্যিই দারুণ।
    আক্রান্তের সংখ্যা দেড় লাখ ছুঁই-ছুঁই। অথচ প্রথম রোগী শনাক্তের পর সংক্রমণ ব্যাপকভাবে ছড়িয়ে পড়ার আগে দেড় মাসের বেশি সময় পেয়েছিল যুক্তরাষ্ট্র।
    প্রেসিডেন্ট ডোনাল্ড ট্রাম্পের যখন সবকিছু নিয়ন্ত্রণে ছিল, যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের তত দিন সবকিছু নিয়ন্ত্রণের বাইরে চলে গেছে। ছবি: রয়টার্সপ্রেসিডেন্ট ডোনাল্ড ট্রাম্পের যখন সবকিছু নিয়ন্ত্রণে ছিল, যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের তত দিন সবকিছু নিয়ন্ত্রণের বাইরে চলে গেছে। ছবি: রয়টার্সদেড় মাস ধরে মার্কিন প্রেসিডেন্ট যখন এসব বলে চলেছেন, তখন করোনাভাইরাসে আক্রান্তের সংখ্যা দিনে দিনে দু-চারজন করে বাড়ছে আর ছড়িয়ে পড়ছে দেশজুড়ে। এরপর গত অর্ধমাসে কীভাবে তা ছড়াল বিশ্ব দেখেছে। শুধু প্রেসিডেন্ট নন, ভাইস প্রেসিডেন্ট মাইক পেন্সও একইভাবে আশ্বস্ত করে গেছেন যুক্তরাষ্ট্রবাসীকে।
    মার্কিন প্রশাসন একদিকে মুখে মুখে আশ্বস্ত করেছে, অন্যদিকে রোগ পরীক্ষা এবং লোকজনকে কোয়ারেন্টিন (সঙ্গনিরোধ) ও আইসোলেশনের (বিচ্ছিন্নকরণ) পর্যাপ্ত পদক্ষেপ নেয়নি। ঠিকমতো পরীক্ষা না হওয়ায় একটি ভুল বার্তা পেয়েছে দেশের মানুষ, জানতে পারেনি দেশে আসলে কত মানুষ আক্রান্ত। ফলে তারাও বিষয়টিকে সেভাবে গুরুত্ব দেয়নি। চলাফেরা-মেলামেশায় সতর্ক হয়নি। এই ফাঁকে ট্রাম্পের সেই ‘মাত্র ১১ জন’ ছয় সপ্তাহের ব্যবধানে লাখ ছাড়িয়ে গেছে।
    তবে চীনে জানুয়ারির শেষের দিকে করোনাভাইরাসের সংক্রমণ যখন বাড়ছিল, তখনই ট্রাম্প প্রশাসনকে সতর্ক করেছিল দেশটির রোগনিয়ন্ত্রণ সংস্থা সেন্টার ফর ডিজিজ কন্ট্রোল অ্যান্ড প্রিভেনশন (সিডিসি)। মার্কিনদের চীন ভ্রমণে সতর্ক করার কথাও তারা জানিয়েছিল। এসব সতর্কতা এবং গোয়েন্দা প্রতিবেদন ট্রাম্প প্রশাসনের নজরে আনার জন্য সপ্তাহের পর সপ্তাহ চেষ্টা করেছেন স্বাস্থ্য ও হিউম্যান সার্ভিস মন্ত্রী অ্যালেক্স আজার।
    করোনাভাইরাস একটি নতুন ধরনের ভাইরাস। এখনো পর্যন্ত ওষুধ নেই, চিকিৎসা নেই এমনকি দেশে দেশে এটির পরীক্ষা পদ্ধতিও ভিন্ন। কেননা, প্রতিনিয়ত জিনের গঠন বদলে ফেলছে ভাইরাসটি। এ কারণে চীন তাদের মতো করে পরীক্ষা পদ্ধতি উদ্ভাবন করে নিয়েছিল। অক্ষম দেশগুলোকে এ ক্ষেত্রে সহযোগিতা করছে বিশ্ব স্বাস্থ্য সংস্থা। কিন্তু যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের সেই অবস্থা নেই। ২০ জানুয়ারি প্রথম রোগী শনাক্তের চার দিনের মাথায় ২৪ জানুয়ারি পরীক্ষা পদ্ধতির নকশা করে দেশটির সিডিসি।
    সেন্টার ফর গ্লোবাল ডেভেলপমেন্টের সিনিয়র পলিসি ফেলো জেরেমি কনিনডাইক বলেন, ‘আমেরিকানদের উপযোগী পরীক্ষা পদ্ধতি তৈরি করে নিয়েছিল সিডিসি। এবং আমরা সাধারণত এভাবেই কাজ করি। আমাদের যে সক্ষমতা আছে, অনেক দেশের তা নেই। কাজেই পরীক্ষা পদ্ধতি পাওয়ার জন্য তাদের নির্ভর করতে হয় বিশ্ব স্বাস্থ্য সংস্থার ওপর। যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের তা করতে হয় না।’
    প্রথম রোগী শনাক্ত হওয়ার পর প্রথম ১০ দিন আক্রান্তের সংখ্যা এক অঙ্কের ঘরেই ছিল। ওই সময়ই ওয়াল স্ট্রিট জার্নাল-এ একটি নিবন্ধ লিখেছিলেন দুই জনস্বাস্থ্য বিশেষজ্ঞ লুসিয়ানা বোরিও এবং স্কট গটলিব। নিবন্ধে তাঁরা সতর্ক করেছিলেন, ‘আক্রান্তের সংখ্যা যদি বাড়ে তাহলে পরীক্ষা-নিরীক্ষায় সিডিসিকে বেগ পেতে হবে। সরকারের এখনই উচিত ব্যক্তি খাতের সঙ্গে মিলে দ্রুত ব্যবহার-উপযোগী পরীক্ষার ব্যবস্থা করা এবং সংশ্লিষ্টদের কাছে তা পৌঁছে দেওয়া। মহামারি রুখতে সবার আগে কর্তব্য সন্দেহভাজন রোগীদের শনাক্ত করা, তাদের পরীক্ষার ব্যবস্থা করা এবং আলাদা করে ফেলা।’
    কিন্তু সরকার অনেক দিন সময় পেয়েও শুরুর দিকে এসব উদ্যোগ নেয়নি। পরীক্ষার দায়িত্বও অনেক দিন সিডিসির বাইরে কারও হাতে দেওয়া হয়নি। অনেক মানুষের পরীক্ষা করার দরকার ছিল, কিন্তু তা করা হয়নি। ১৬ ফেব্রুয়ারি নাগাদ অর্থাৎ প্রথম প্রায় এক মাসে পরীক্ষা করা হয় মাত্র ৮০০ জনকে। অর্থাৎ প্রতি ১০ লাখ মানুষের মধ্যে পরীক্ষা হয় মাত্র আড়াই জনের। দক্ষিণ কোরিয়াতেও করোনাভাইরাস শনাক্ত হয়েছিল যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের মতো একই দিনে। কিন্তু সেই একই সময়ে তারা প্রায় ৮ হাজার পরীক্ষা করিয়েছিল, যা তাদের দেশের জনসংখ্যার অনুপাতে প্রতি ১০ লাখে ১৫৪ জন।
    এর পরের সপ্তাহগুলোতে পরিষ্কার হয়ে যায় যে সংক্রমণ স্থানীয়ভাবে ছড়াতে শুরু করেছে। তখনো সারা দেশে সব সরকারি-বেসরকারি হাসপাতালে ও ল্যাবে পরীক্ষার অনুমতি দেওয়া হয়নি।
    ২৪ ফেব্রুয়ারি সিডিসির ন্যাশনাল সেন্টার ফর ইমিউনাইজেশন অ্যান্ড রেসপিরেটরি ডিজিজের পরিচালক ন্যান্সি ম্যাসোনির সাংবাদিকদের বলেন, ‘আমাদের এখানে হয়তো স্থানীয়ভাবে সংক্রমণ শুরু হবে। আর এটা হলে অনেক মানুষ গুরুতরভাবে আক্রান্ত হবে।’
    ঠিক সেদিনও ট্রাম্প টুইট করেন, ‘করোনাভাইরাস আমাদের এখানে পুরোপুরি নিয়ন্ত্রণে আছে।’
    ট্রাম্পের যখন সবকিছু নিয়ন্ত্রণে ছিল, যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের তত দিন সবকিছু নিয়ন্ত্রণের বাইরে চলে গেছে। এরপর দিনে দিনে রোগী বেড়েছে, বাড়ানো হয়েছে সতর্কতা। সতর্কতা থেকে একপর্যায়ে নিষেধাজ্ঞা। একে একে সবকিছু বন্ধ, লকডাউন। কিন্তু তত দিনে আক্রান্ত ও মৃত্যুর সংখ্যা অনেক বেড়েছে।
    এই অবস্থায় ভবিষ্যতে কী ঘটতে চলেছে, তার একটা সম্ভাব্য চিত্র দিয়েছেন যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের শীর্ষ সংক্রামক রোগ বিশেষজ্ঞ অ্যান্থনি এস ফাউসি। তিনি যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের ন্যাশনাল ইনস্টিটিউট অব অ্যালার্জি অ্যান্ড ইনফেকশাস ডিজিজের পরিচালক এবং করোনাভাইরাস প্রতিরোধে গঠিত মার্কিন টাস্কফোর্সের সদস্য। রোববার হোয়াইট হাউসে সাংবাদিকদের ব্রিফিংয়ে তিনি বলেছেন, ‘আমরা এখন যেসব বিধিনিষেধ, সামাজিক দূরত্ব মেনে চলছি, তা ঠিকমতো পালন হলেও যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের ১ থেকে ২ লাখ মানুষ এই ভাইরাসে প্রাণ হারাবে। এসব না মানলে সংখ্যাটা ১০ লাখে ঠেকতে পারে।’ তাই নিষেধাজ্ঞা, লকডাউন, শাটডাউন এবং আরও যা যা আছে তার মেয়াদ আপাতত অন্তত এপ্রিলের শেষ পর্যন্ত বাড়াতে প্রেসিডেন্ট ট্রাম্পকে পরামর্শ দিয়েছেন তিনি।
    এরপর ট্রাম্প প্রশাসন ৩০ এপ্রিল পর্যন্ত জাতীয় জরুরি অবস্থার মেয়াদ বাড়িয়েছে।



    I’m Chinese. I’m here in Quora because I want to know what is really going on in the rest of the world and what really does other people think. During my whole school life I was taught to think critically and consider without any bias.

    I just want to share my personal experience two months ago and this might help you understand why China can recover from the Covid 19 so quickly.

    I live in Kunming, which is 1558 kilometers away from wuhan. In January, the official number of people infected was around 50.( not very serious right?) I live with my parents, and my grandparents live in the same area but different places. On Jan 29, my grandfather told my mom that he had a fever. Suspecting it might be the coronavirus, we took him to the hospital. As we expected, he was immediately isolated, and we went home later. At around 9:00 pm, some people wearing protective clothing came to our home and told us that we have to be isolated too, because we could be infected. (note that at that time the doctors were not sure if my grandfather did have the virus)

    According to those guys, the isolation was mandatory and if we insist to stay at home, they’ll have to seal the whole building, just as what the government do with the real coronalvirus patients. Then we were transferred to a hotel, one person one room, with three meals a day delivered by certain person. During this time, in the hospital, my grandpa did the nuclei acid test for three times, and took some medication. In fact, it turned to be negative in the first test, and grandpa’s temperature turned normal on the second day, but according to the government, all three tests are mandatory.

    The most important thing is, all expenses, both in the hospital and in the hotel, were free. Even my dog, which was transferred to a pet shop, was looked after for free during our isolation.

    Finally, the doctors confirmed that my grandpa just had a normal fever. The point is, because the government guaranteed us its free to go to the hospital and we all feel a strong sense of responsibility for not letting the virus spread, we believe the government and go get tested.

    Indeed it’s impossible for the government to make no mistakes, but the key is how they make up for it.

    ===============above this line is the original answer============

    UPDATE:Maybe the word “mandatory” that I used in my answer is a little inappropriate. “Medically necessary” is probably a better choice. In fact, when we were asked to be isolated, we were not “pointed by guns” and I didn’t feel my liberty was violated, or say, “sacrificed” my freedom, something like that. Just like anyone who now comes back to China will be isolated for 14 days, I wouldn’t say this action is violating their freedom.

    ======

    I’m very surprised that more and more people get to see this answer. And I want to say a little more about it.

    I believe most people in this world are innocent, good people. In fact, as the coronavirus figure in the US grows higher and higher, as far as I know, people around me take no pleasure hearing these news. After all, those are not just figures, they are real people. We really hope every country in this world can get through this quickly.

    UPDATE : thanks Stan Verhoeven for pointing out that the change of demand is the main cause of the toilet shortage.

    About the hoarding of toilet paper(might not be correct, just my guessing ): In my opinion, the underlying problem is that although people in the US are worried, but they are not well informed( or mislead) about what should & shouldn’t be done with this virus and how bad the coronavirus is. As a result, the panic accumulated and somehow people suddenly found a way to release it—buying toilet paper, although it doesn’t make any sense. In my economic class, this phenomenon is called the “herd effect”. Actually, the similar thing also happened in China back in 2011, the Fukushima nuclear leak event. When people heard there was a nuclear leak in Japan, many people crowded into markets to hoard salt, because some rumor has it that the iodine in the salt can prevent nuclear radiation. But the truth is that one need to eat several kilograms of salt to reach the effective iodine level. Therefore, I think the most important thing is to inform people of the truth, rather than making fun of their ignorance.



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    Why did North Korea not have a single case of Coronavirus? How did they manage it?


    North Korea. North Korea is a communist country, far more isolated than the rest of many other nations. It’s leader the great Kim Jong-Un leads his people, the mighty dictator:


    Wait hold up, is that guard behind Kim wearing a mask??

    Isn’t there no coronavirus cases in the “mighty” DPRK?? Are we being lied to? Is the North Korean regime secretly hiding the cases?

    Well, all transport into North Korea is closed, like the train from China to North Korea, airplanes, etc. All these forms of travel from countries to North Korea are currently closed.

    So there is two options of whether North Korea really has 0 cases or that they North Korean regime is hiding this away from the rest of the world to prove that they are superior. So let’s discuss both options.

    1. The North Koreans actually have 0 cases. This can be explained by the strictly monitored/restricted entrance into the country. If there is a travel restriction that means a very limited amount of people are allowed into the DPRK. North Korea is known for its isolation from the rest of the world, and it’s strict travel.
    Along with this many people infer that if the North Korean government finds a coronavirus case they will shoot that person or execute them, which seems reasonable for a country that has such lack medical technology.

    2. The North Koreans is also known as a country that outside country are afraid of because of its limited medical equipment and knowledge, and that the regime wants the world to fear their country and to think of their country as a major superpower (in which they are not). It is very likely that they are hiding this.

    It’s all up to you decide which one you want to believe, but if Kim Jong-Un is hiding it, it is only harming the world and his own people. We shall see when time pass.

    What does having the coronavirus feel like?



    I have been hospitalized and tested positive for covid19
    Age 30, no other conditions.


    Remeber the virus attacks in 2 stages.
    First week its the virus it self, after a small relieve period its your own immume system attacking your lungs caused by the virus messing with the immume system.

    It started after I returned from my ski vacation.

    The following days I was very fatigued and muscle ache. I blamed it on the intense vacation and the sudden evacuation from the quarantine zone and bad trip back. But soon I find out it was the first warning.

    First Fever:
    After a few days I felt a bit better that I was able to do some food shopping.
    But that same evening I started vomiting and felt really bad. That night I caught a fever.

    I thought I ate something bad and it will go away.

    Next day I had the worst night of my life, a fever dream where I thought it was my last night.

    After that I contacted the doctor and got meds for the fever (they weren't sure yet if it was Covid19 or not, hence only meds for now). I kept taking the max doses to repress the fever for 1 week. I was only able to sleep after taking my meds, waking up from the fever after it wore off. The longer this lasted I started to cough and it kept getting worse. I was barely able to move around the house; from bed to couch and vise versa.

    I asked a friend to drop a cold pack at my house so I could use it to keep the temperature a bit down. But my friend noticed this isn't looking all too well. And was able to contact the hospital emergency. (I've also tried to contact them before but I couldn't get to the right people, telling me to stay home (there are alot of new phone numbers set up you could call, but none seem helpful))

    After the emergency arrived, they immediately took me to the hospital emergency.

    Hospital:
    Where I laid for 6 hours before I got appointed a bed.
    My temperature never dropped under 38c. I had it hot but at the same time I was freezing.
    My appetite was gone food had no taste or smell. Barely ate a yoghurt a day. Drank lots of water tho. Breathing started to get difficult and I was hooked to the oxygen (it was set to 2, don't remember what units it was liters a min?)
    At some point my temperature kept rising and I was already at max dose of meds to repress it. So I went to intensive care, lucky this only lasted a day as my fever dropped again.
    After 5 days in the hospital the fever disappeared and it was time to start recovering.
    They motivated me to walk around in my room to the toilet or washing sink, but this was very difficult as soon I was off the oxygen, I was out of breath really fast and I started to get a panic attack coughing. Having been in the hospital in a small room all this time also took its toll and I wanted to go home as soon as possible. After 8 days they suggested me I could go home or stay 2 more days. I took the first option.
    Release from the hospital:
    Finally home I ordered my favorite food, but I could only eat half of it. Being home was not easy without the oxygen. Being alone at home it wasn't very easy taking care of myself. It was very exhausting. And I repeated my bed to couch routine for a few days.
    Back to the hospital:
    Then I started to feel pain in my chest. I contacted the hospital doctor who did a phone call check up from time to time. He told me to go back to the hospital for a check up. Stayed in the hospital for a few days of scanning and monitoring. Apparently blood clots started to form inside my lungs, and my liver started to fail after all those days on the meds.
    Back Home:
    Now i'm back home still recovering but i’m feeling better.
    I still get check ups on my stats if nothing is getting worse,
    but i’m positive i’ll be healthy any time soon.
    Sorry for the rambling but I wanted to share my story.
    Dutch hospital letter of secund stay 




































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